Bayesian Artificial Intelligence, Second Edition - download pdf or read online

By Kevin B. Korb

ISBN-10: 1439815917

ISBN-13: 9781439815915

Updated and multiplied, Bayesian man made Intelligence, moment Edition offers a realistic and obtainable creation to the most recommendations, starting place, and purposes of Bayesian networks. It specializes in either the causal discovery of networks and Bayesian inference strategies. Adopting a causal interpretation of Bayesian networks, the authors talk about using Bayesian networks for causal modeling. in addition they draw on their lonesome utilized study to demonstrate a variety of functions of the technology.

New to the second one Edition

    • New bankruptcy on Bayesian community classifiers
    • New part on object-oriented Bayesian networks
    • New part that addresses foundational issues of causal discovery and Markov blanket discovery
    • New part that covers equipment of comparing causal discovery programs
    • Discussions of many universal modeling errors
    • New functions and case studies
    • More insurance at the makes use of of causal interventions to appreciate and cause with causal Bayesian networks

    Illustrated with actual case experiences, the second one variation of this bestseller maintains to hide the basis of Bayesian networks. It provides the weather of Bayesian community expertise, computerized causal discovery, and studying chances from facts and exhibits tips on how to hire those applied sciences to enhance probabilistic specialist systems.

    Web Resource
    The book’s site at bargains numerous supplemental fabrics, together with instance Bayesian networks and knowledge units. teachers can e mail the authors for pattern ideas to some of the difficulties within the text.

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    Extra resources for Bayesian Artificial Intelligence, Second Edition

    Sample text

    Thus, “NP hard” problems are generally regarded as computationally intractable. , satisfies the three axioms of Kolmogorov). , P(e1 |e2 , h) = P(e1 |h) — prove the “product rule”: P(e1 , e2 |h) = P(e1 |h) × P(e2 |h). 1, namely the Total Probability theorem and the Chain Rule. Problem 4 There are five containers of milk on a shelf; unbeknownst to you, two of them have passed their use-by date. You grab two at random. What’s the probability that neither have passed their use-by date? Suppose someone else has got in just ahead of you, taking one container, after examining the dates.

    4 Bayes’ Theorem P(h|e) = P(e|h)P(h) P(e) This is a non-controversial (and simple) theorem of the probability calculus. Under its usual Bayesian interpretation, it asserts that the probability of a hypothesis h conditioned upon some evidence e is equal to its likelihood P(e|h) times its probability prior to any evidence P(h), normalized by dividing by P(e) (so that the conditional probabilities of all hypotheses sum to 1). Proof is trivial. The further claim that this is a right and proper way of adjusting our beliefs in our hypotheses given new evidence is called conditionalization, and it is controversial.

    We will not address the third source of uncertainty above, vagueness, which is fundamentally a problem about semantics and one which has no good analysis so far as we are aware. 2 Uncertainty in AI The successes of formal logic have been considerable over the past century and have been received by many as an indication that logic should be the primary vehicle for knowledge representation and reasoning within AI. Logicism in AI, as this has been called, dominated AI research in the 1960s and 1970s, only losing its grip in the 1980s when artificial neural networks came of age.

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    Bayesian Artificial Intelligence, Second Edition by Kevin B. Korb

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